Closed beta — the win-probability model is still calibrating. Treat every number as informational, not a betting recommendation. No outcome is guaranteed.
Bet of the day
Showing last available slate from 2026-08-13. Today's ingest hasn't landed yet.
MLB · 8:05 PM UTC
Chicago Cubs
@
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
48%Washington NationalsModel lean
52%medium confidence · Edge +10.3 pts
- Home field advantage in an otherwise even matchup · leans home
- Team quality vs. record — Cubs' record is inflated by luck · leans home
- Bullpen FIP edge for Chicago · leans away
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Verified track record — last 7 days: 41.7% (5/12)
Verified track record
Recent graded picks
Model lean vs final result. Denominators are graded picks only; no-actions are excluded. Early days — the sample is still small, so read these as a directional signal, not a guarantee.
- Last 7 days
- 41.7% (5/12)
- Last 30 days
- 41.7% (5/12)